Market Report | August 2026
Chickpea buyers planning cover into the first half of 2027 are looking at two markets that have stopped moving together. Desi supply has tightened sharply on a much smaller Australian crop. Kabuli remains comfortably supplied, but with a narrowing window before Southern Hemisphere new crop arrives.
For anyone building a bill of materials around chickpeas or chickpea flour, that distinction now matters more than the headline global figure.
Key takeaways
- Desi is tightening. The Australian crop has roughly halved, and South Asian demand has not softened with it.
- Kabuli is well supplied, but the Argentine exportable balance runs thin before new crop lands in October and November.
- Large calibre is the pinch point. Availability above 9 mm is the tightest part of the market.
- Plan the two types separately. Treating chickpeas as one market will misprice your cover for 2027.
Australia: a much smaller crop after two strong years
Australia has been the swing supplier of desi chickpeas for two seasons, and that is about to change. ABARES has forecast the current crop at roughly 1.08 million tonnes from 732,000 hectares, against a near record 2.19 million tonnes the season prior.
The cut is driven by very poor planting conditions across northern New South Wales and southern Queensland, where subsoil moisture was largely absent through the planting window.
Prices have responded. Brisbane bids firmed through the middle of the year on renewed buying from India and Pakistan, and growers have been slow to commit new crop tonnage while yield uncertainty persists. Because Australian production is almost entirely desi, the effect is concentrated in the South Asian trade rather than in Mediterranean and Middle Eastern kabuli markets.
India: policy and grower behaviour still set the tone
India remains the dominant producer, accounting for between two thirds and three quarters of world output depending on the season. Desi dominates area and volume. Kabuli occupies a smaller but higher value segment aimed at export.
Supply has recovered. Domestic production is strong enough that projected imports have fallen to a fraction of the prior year, supported by a customs duty on desi chana and a further increase in the minimum support price for the rabi season.
Stock is being held back. Growers have been withholding tonnage in anticipation of firmer values, and a below average monsoon forecast has added a risk premium to the back end of the year.
Indian mandi dynamics and policy decisions continue to set the floor for global chickpea sentiment, kabuli included.
Argentina: a record campaign now thinning out
Argentina has just completed a historic kabuli campaign, with production estimated between 240,000 and 260,000 tonnes. Around 70 percent of the exportable balance had already shipped by mid year, leaving the remaining 30 percent to serve international buyers through to the new cycle in October and November.
Values have stayed soft under global oversupply, but availability is the more practical constraint. Booking space and securing empty containers has been an ongoing difficulty out of Argentine ports, which makes lead time, rather than price, the variable most likely to disrupt a fourth quarter delivery schedule.
Turkey and Russia: calibre is the real story
Turkey typically produces in the range of 500,000 to 550,000 tonnes, but recent crops have delivered a lower proportion of large calibre material than the six year average. Russian kabuli has been the cheapest origin on the market, drawing volume toward it, although European duties limit how much of that product can reach EU processors.
The combined effect is a market that is well supplied in 7 and 8 mm sizes and noticeably tighter above 9 mm. Manufacturers specifying large calibre kabuli for canning, retail packing or premium foodservice face a very different supply picture from those milling to flour or producing hummus, where calibre is largely irrelevant.
Where the demand is going
Global chickpea volume sat near 19.7 million tonnes in 2025 and is forecast to grow steadily through the next decade. India absorbs the bulk of world production domestically as dal and besan. Outside India, growth is concentrated in a narrower set of applications:
- Hummus and dips. Still the largest single driver of kabuli demand in North America and Europe.
- Canned and cooked chickpeas. Retail and foodservice, where calibre and skin integrity determine grade.
- Falafel and prepared frozen formats. Increasingly manufactured outside the Middle East.
- Roasted and coated snacks. A fast growing outlet for medium calibre material.
- Chickpea flour. Gluten free bakery, pasta, extruded snacks and batter systems.
Chickpea flour in particular has moved from a specialty line to a mainstream reformulation tool, giving manufacturers protein and fibre contribution alongside a clean label position.
What this means for procurement
Desi and kabuli should be planned separately this year. Desi is firming on the smaller Australian crop and steady South Asian demand, and there is little reason to expect that to reverse before the next Indian rabi harvest.
Kabuli remains competitively supplied, but the Argentine exportable balance narrows over the coming weeks and large calibre availability is the tightest part of the market. Buyers with 9 mm and above specifications are the ones most exposed to a late decision.
Sourcing chickpeas with Tradelink
Tradelink International supplies kabuli chickpeas and chickpea flour in organic and conventional grades, from Argentina and other origins, with full document packages for import.
If you are building cover for 2027 and would like current availability against your calibre, packing and volume requirements, contact our team at sales@tradelinkinternational.com.
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